Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 423.893680 481.525685 545.404295 621.680248 710.570074 811.232131 934.340433
2026-01-04 348.523516 426.932552 521.800560 645.988501 805.669367 1005.975013 1279.244699
2026-01-11 299.581267 385.459662 495.533106 648.811740 859.666804 1143.871491 1563.393661
2026-01-18 259.372422 346.673524 463.723339 634.900377 883.535645 1238.973823 1799.341673
2026-01-25 229.121622 316.155841 437.357612 622.168521 903.517551 1327.002359 2034.983157
2026-02-01 213.244598 303.148494 432.892019 638.746286 966.621209 1485.575159 2405.054392
2026-02-08 195.337752 284.839340 418.011438 636.700755 999.073970 1598.744254 2718.205601
2026-02-15 179.113608 267.156385 401.787648 629.841645 1021.595635 1697.014078 3020.867786
2026-02-22 167.635830 255.506512 393.449807 634.245709 1062.716054 1831.960667 3415.091082
2026-03-01 154.648579 240.170019 377.525306 623.692892 1075.563023 1916.650374 3725.592356
2026-03-08 144.357782 228.240197 365.946062 619.101521 1098.089613 2021.853646 4097.540618
2026-03-15 131.880992 211.626995 344.944231 595.296714 1081.207263 2046.955519 4300.014122
2026-03-22 127.718186 208.909282 347.879516 616.187107 1154.688429 2268.549633 5001.443599
2026-03-29 124.386167 207.339152 352.678403 641.156491 1239.991060 2529.944000 5863.541788
2026-04-05 118.147012 200.075876 346.461413 643.892923 1279.301682 2696.649554 6528.939560
2026-04-12 110.287293 189.267981 332.741313 630.107430 1281.174656 2777.821718 6987.324875
2026-04-19 103.305612 179.546654 320.248936 617.486243 1283.887664 2861.284760 7473.232638
2026-04-26 100.413799 177.201593 321.641375 633.919492 1354.623679 3123.191066 8549.932056
2026-05-03 95.625837 170.902435 314.767025 631.891827 1381.886057 3279.642267 9349.907612
2026-05-10 90.704827 163.998090 306.130275 625.092560 1396.736543 3406.074783 10090.723112
2026-05-17 87.310069 159.827617 302.669638 629.458212 1439.690429 3616.554689 11179.106564
2026-05-24 82.707872 152.958222 293.134140 618.997366 1443.689004 3718.526434 11918.085519
2026-05-31 78.993413 147.630249 286.420555 614.445935 1462.507604 3867.163122 12878.806157